The use of drugs to enhance the ability of sports persons is grabbing the headlines. These drugs influence the ability of sports people to win. Lance Armstrong grabbed the headlines for a while but many addictions, including alcohol, have embraced by those who could afford the legal and illegal bolsters to their capabilities.
These drugs are substances that affect bodily and mental operations of the consumer in a way that is generally understood. Most people accept that they can be useful with moderation. Ironically, most people have views on these drugs while they ignore drugs that do much more harm.
The infatuation with the drug that is money is a very common affliction that is spreading rapidly to the emerging middle class in developing countries. It entails the consumption of natural resources without paying the ecological cost, the divestment of natural material wealth. It invariably results in the production of material wastes that pollute land, sea, air and organisms, including us. Society hold the rich in high esteem even they are the ones that have the greatest leverage of money to devastate the environment which is our life support system.
The global financial crisis has reduced the savings of many people and the withdrawal symptoms are hitting hard.
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Entropy production delusion
It is common in knowledgeable circles to talk about the development of civilization in terms of entropy discussion. The term 'entropy...
Friday, March 22, 2013
Wednesday, March 20, 2013
Black Swan event
Nassim Taleb coined the term 'Back Swan event' to describe events that are unexpected by people. This definition needs to be qualified as to who finds the event to be unexpected. The earthquake that hit Japan a couple of years ago was not expected by the residents. It was a 'Black Swan' event as far as they were concerned. But it was not to the scientists who were aware of the fault lines in the region. They could not predict when an earthquake would occur but they knew one was likely.
Many well off people lost money in the GFC (global financial crisis) of 2008. It was a Black Swan event as far as they were concerned. But it was not to bankers and investors who understood that the boom in the financial market was likely to bust. They made money!
Society, particularly those in government and industry, believe in economic growth. They do not understand that all the technological systems that provide the goods and services society is addicted to using irreversibly use up the limited natural material capital. That view is a characteristic of Myopia. What is actually happening is the characteristic of the Real world. Climate change and the depletion of natural resources is a Real symptom of what Myopia has done wrong. Unfortunately, society will have cope with what they consider to be a Black Swan event because they have been educated to believe that Homo sapiens make sound decisions.
Many well off people lost money in the GFC (global financial crisis) of 2008. It was a Black Swan event as far as they were concerned. But it was not to bankers and investors who understood that the boom in the financial market was likely to bust. They made money!
Society, particularly those in government and industry, believe in economic growth. They do not understand that all the technological systems that provide the goods and services society is addicted to using irreversibly use up the limited natural material capital. That view is a characteristic of Myopia. What is actually happening is the characteristic of the Real world. Climate change and the depletion of natural resources is a Real symptom of what Myopia has done wrong. Unfortunately, society will have cope with what they consider to be a Black Swan event because they have been educated to believe that Homo sapiens make sound decisions.
Labels:
addiction,
Black Swan,
earthquake,
GFC,
Japan
Sunday, March 17, 2013
The Ten Laws of Ecolodynamics
The Ten Laws of Ecolodynamics
I assert that
The operations of materialistic
civilization entail the irreversible consumption of limited irreplaceable
natural material resource capital, an unsustainable bio-geo-chemical-physical process
sums up what is happening to the infrastructure of our
civilization, Tityas, and its life-support eco systems in Gaia. It is a novel assertion although
it is based on sound scientific principles backed by irrefutable arguments and experiential evidence. It
is not yet a theorem (established principle) but this is because of lack of
understanding of how natural physical forces always control what happens in
operations involving materials. It is not even widely recognized in scientific circles. In fact there
are a number of seemingly authoritative people who attempt to repudiate it. The
purpose of this essay is to provide reasoned argument, for consideration by skeptics, backing this and the other assertions . This one can be regarded as
the First Law of Ecolodynamics as it relates to the dynamics of the operation of complex technological and ecological systems.
1. Consumption of natural material capital
The well-known Laws of Thermodynamics embrace some aspects of what happens in natural and industrial materialistic (physical) processes. They originally covered only energy flows (fluxes) but their applicability has been expanded in some scientific considerations to cover the tendency of systems and organisms to go from order to disorder as the processes seek equilibrium with the surroundings during development. The prior operation leading to order and the consequent potential (to subsequently go to disorder) is not embraced by the Second Law of Thermodynamics even though there are many well-known examples of that up and down process. The growth, maturity and then senescence of the human body is an example.This definition would clarify the circumstances where the term ‘negentropy’ is used by some authorities. The tendency for a system made of materials to increase in order, through the input of materials, some of which supply energy, from the surroundings, should be regarded according to Georgescu-Roegen as the Fourth Law of Thermodynamics. It would be more appropriate to call it the Second Law of Mass dynamics where the First Law is the well known conservation of mass.
A corollary to the First Law is:
Technological systems introduced
into civilization often bring into play physical and chemical forces in an
innovative and irreversible manner that in many cases have had unintended deleterious
and irreversible consequences.
This is deemed here to be the Second Law. The prime example
of the application of the Second Law is the contribution of the emissions from
fossil fuel combustion to the rapid climate change and ocean acidification.
Seven others that are being seriously examined by environmentalists are the
ozone layer, freshwater use, movement of nitrogen and phosphorus, land use for
crops, aerosols (haze and particulates), chemical pollution
Another corollary to
the assertion (potential theorem) above is
The components and structures of
materialistic civilization have limited lives as they are continually subject
to natural destructive forces such as wind, rain and friction. Their existence
constitutes a commitment to consume natural material capital for their
operation and maintenance as long as that is possible. This also is an
unsustainable physical process.
This can be considered to be the Third Law of Ecolodynamics.
What will inevitably happen to the multitude of global cities and associated
infrastructure is one issue impacted by the Third Law.
A Fourth Law is that:
Human beings have a natural
capability to reproduce. This reproduction capability, as with all organisms,
has evolved. However, in recent times human reproduction has become
unsustainably parasitic because of the predatory usage of natural resources and
associated devastation of the environment coupled with a fallacious belief in the
supremacy of the human race.
Population growth is causing concern in many quarters even
as it is stimulated by economic growth and lack of understanding of the
long-term consequences.
Another corollary (potential theorem) is
Natural laws have always
determined (and will continue to do so)
what tangible materialistic operations in nature and in the systems of
civilization are possible. Intangible information can only activate some of
these potential tangible operations.
This, the Fifth Law, identifies the role played by
information in activating operations. It is analogous to the brain sending
messages to parts in the body. An extension of that Law is
The decisions made by humans
about materialistic operations are constrained within the limits imposed by the
tools and services provided by the systems and infrastructure of materialistic civilization.
The achievements of the decision-making process will decline as the potential
capabilities of materialistic civilization declines.
This can be considered to be the Sixth Law of Ecolodynamics.
These decisions are largely based on financial market forces for now because
the physical limitations have yet to strike home. The elite of society will
probably find it harder to cope with the consequences of the Sixth Law than the
disadvantaged global masses. The elite are currently able to take the goods and
services provided by the infrastructure for granted. The First, Second and
Third Laws will ensure that all and sundry, including the elite, will have to
power down.
The Seventh Law of Ecolodynamics contributes to the list of
laws governing the both the constructive and destructive operation of
civilization.
The human race has been endowed
through evolution with unique, decision-making
capabilities lacking in sound self-organizing and self-regulating
attributes
There is nothing novel in that assertion but it needs to be
taken into account in any holistic examination of what is happening and why. The
Fifth, Sixth and Seventh Laws are on the other side of the balance sheet to the
first four. They currently govern the operation of society as the first four
laws are not yet common knowledge but that lack of understanding will diminish
as impact of the stark, physical reality grows.
A corollary is:
Circumstances have enabled a
proportion of society to be predators who prey on the masses as well as the eco
systems. Their operations are akin to a
cancer in society and act as an ecological parasite.
This Eighth Law identifies one of the holistic factors
having a major impact on what is happening and why. Past colonial powers have
been usurped in recent times by military and financial hegemony but the degree
of predation has not been markedly reduced. Treatment of this cancer requires
the emergence of a degree of wisdom that appears to be foreign to human
nurture.
This lack of wisdom is illustrated by the impact of the
Ninth Law
Many of the activities initiated
by humans have had unintended consequences due to lack of understanding of how
some of the immutable natural laws influence materialistic operations
The use of fossil fuels to provide energy has had the
unintended consequence of causing rapid climate change. That is but one example
of the impact of the Ninth Law due to lack of knowledge. Another is the
pollution of land, sea, air and all organisms be the material wastes produced
by the operation of the systems of civilization
Finally, the Tenth Law states a simple physical reality that
constrains what can happen
Governments, economists, media commentators espouse the
virtues of growth, a process that is unsustainable for simple reasons that seem
to be beyond their comprehension.
Continuing growth of the materialistic systems comprising Tityas is not
possible for simple, physical reasons (First and Third Laws). Continuing
population growth, despite reproduction, is also not possible for ecological
and social reasons (Fourth Law). Continuing intangible monetary growth is
possible but not the associated value of the money. Information growth will
continue as the electronic devices profligate – for a while. But the wisdom
content will not as society strives to cope with what has gone wrong.
The Laws cover the constructive and destructive influences
on the operation of civilization. The changing balance of these forces
represents a tug-o-war that the tangible destructive forces will eventually
win. Materialistic civilization is entering its senescence while its
inhabitants, human and others, are being forced to power down with the
disadvantaged leading the way.
Denis Frith
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